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Re-estimated forecast for US shows that restrictions were introduced to late

From all forecasts made by ExMetrix team US model is most dynamic. Its re-estimation shows that restrictions in US were introduced to late. Current re-estimated model show up to 900k of infections. We will observe situation as it is changing dynamically.

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Re-estimated forecast – up to 250,000 infections and slow down around April 10th. Forecast of coronavirus epidemic in the US – ExMetrix model

The model developed by the ExMetrix, company that deals with economic and social forecasting, shows that the number of people infected in the US can grow up to 250,000 cases and should be reached around April 15, 2020. Previous version of model was prepared when number of infections reached 43k and suggested up to 160k of infections. Model had to be re-estimated mainly because mobility of citizens assumed more enforced social distancing, which did not…

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160,000 infections and slowdown around April 10th. COVID-19 ExMetrix forecasting model for the US

The number of people infected in the US can grow up to 160,000 cases and should be reached around April 15, 2020. The slowdown should start at around April 3rd, and clear inhibition of the cases around April 10th. The fastest growth of confirmed infected people can be as high as 10,000 cases per day and will occur in the period from today to 03/04/2020. After April 3rd, the number of cases should increase at…

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9 THOUSAND INFECTION AND SIGNIFICANT SLOWDOWN AROUND APRIL 15th. FORECAST OF CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIA IN POLAND – EXMETRIX MODEL.

The model developed by the ExMetrix company dealing with economic and social forecasting shows that the number of people infected in Poland can reach about 9,000 and should be reached around April 20th, 2020. The model therefore suggests that the duration of the epidemic in Poland will be slightly longer than in China. It will probably be around 48 days from the first recorded case to the maximum of infections, in China it was about…

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